Beware all "experts" who tell you something will happen. That a candidate will win and another candidate will lose. The certainty expressed in these types of statements, which you see on the answers to this question -- particularly that Trump has no chance against Hillary Clinton -- are nothing more than bluster, and an arrogant attempt to dismissively declare that something is certain, and of course, as a truthsayer, it is you above all people who just knows this to be the case.
Let's get something straight. The answer to any question like this asked on Quora or anywhere else is always "we don't know." When asked "can this candidate beat that candidate?" the answer is always, and I do mean always, "yes."
Many other people here have declared that, of course, Hillary Clinton would not only beat Trump, but beat him handily. This level of certainty is nonsense. Can she win? Would she be a nominal favorite? Is she marginally leading some important battleground states at this particular moment in time, according to the polls?
Yes to all.
But just because she can win, and just because she's polling well against Trump right now, does not mean she is going to win, that it is at all certain, or that it would in any way be easy for her.
In fact, there are a number of very real scenarios that would result in Donald Trump winning the election.
Now before I go any further, I should mention -- since I guess I have to -- that I do not like Mr. Trump. I did not vote for him in my state's caucus, and I can't imagine myself voting for him under any circumstances. I will never vote for Hillary Clinton for anything -- ever -- but my distaste for Mr. Trump is well established. But, it would be foolish to (as seems to be common on the answers here) allow my distaste for him pervert my view of the politics of this potential race.
And let me also say, rather importantly, that what follows is nothing more than a demonstration of a realistic scenario whereby Mr. Trump could win. I am not predictingthe following outcome -- I happen to think this year is too volatile to really predict the outcome very well at all. So much can change week by week, let alone month by month. Any prediction I make eight months from election day is worthless anyway, and if I were to be right, it would not be because I’m clairvoyant, but just happened to guess right.
In any event, my real point is that Trump winning the election can, indeed, occur. So, I will attempt to show you how that could potentially happen.
No comments:
Post a Comment